Summary
We need to teach students how to debate so they can think, judge, and communicate well in a world where AI does most thinking. Debate helps people argue both sides, make tough choices, and work together, skills AI cannot replace. Universal Basic Debate should be a basic part of education, like reading and math, to prepare everyone for the future with superintelligent machines.
Highlights
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According to the latest AI forecasting models, which some even argue are too conservative, we’re roughly six years away from AI systems that can automate most coding tasks (2031), and less than a decade from artificial superintelligence (2034) - systems that will exceed human cognitive capabilities across virtually all domains by at least twice the current gap between a median professional and expert in a field.
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The students sitting in classrooms today - the eight-year-olds learning multiplication, the fifteen-year-olds writing essays about To Kill a Mockingbird - will graduate into a world where machines can think, write, analyze, and create better than any individual human. They’ll be the generation that builds the first truly AI-enabled civilization. So what should we be teaching them?